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welcome to inside politics I'm Phil Mattingly John King is off today we begin this Sunday morning with a coordinated crackdown on illegal illegal immigration the president Strunk says will start today it's a roundup targeting migrants who entered the country illegally and who judges have already ordered to leave a senior main integration immigration official tells CNN the operation focuses on at least nine cities Atlanta Baltimore Chicago Denver Houston Los Angeles Miami New York and San Francisco the operation will target migrants who came to the US recently but officials warn others could be caught up in the suite California's governor with this advice to anyone here illegally I just want to say to two folks that are anxious about a knock on the door when we talk about knowing your rights no Alberta's no Barta now without a warrant you don't have to open the door without a warrant you do not have to open the door now the goal of the blitz according to homeland security officials to send a message to migrants considering coming to the United States that the country does not have room for them the vice president Friday asked by CNN if some children will come home and find their parents gone no he wouldn't say no happens that the child is at daycare or at summer camp the parent is arrested as a child gonna go home to an empty house what's going to happen Pamela I I am very confident that the American people recognize that the way forward to deal with this crisis of illegal immigration is to enforce our laws and enforcing court-ordered deportation orders CNN's Rosa Flores is in Chicago where ice agents have been mobilizing and I guess Rosa to start kind of lay out the big picture here in terms of your understanding of what the administration is is trying to do here well you know the administration is saying that they are focusing on newly arrived immigrants and also criminals but Phil there is widespread fear because as you know during the Obama administration lot hundreds of thousands of people came out of the shadows gave the US government their address to apply for daca for example and even during the Trump administration after family separation at the border thousands of parents family members gave their addresses to the US government to claim those children who were separated at the border so there is widespread fear and what's happening as advocacy organizations are trying to educate the undocumented community I've talked to advocates here in Illinois in Iowa in Florida they're all doing something a little different but in a nutshell they are having no your rights or workshops they're setting up ice reporting hotlines so people can call that number when they see an ice raid and they're also coordinating community response teams to deploy to those raid areas Phil to make sure that people know their rights and Rosa you're in Chicago you've been spending the weekend with an undocumented mother worried about deportation tell us what that has been like well you know we've been following her story since 2017 and she's been checking in with ice for about a decade and everything had been fine until president Trump's there's the policy there's also the personal heroes of Flores in Chicago thank you very much keep us posted on that all right joining us now with their reporting and their insights somin Kemp the Washington Post CNN's Jeff Zeleny The Wall Street Journal's Michael bender and Lisa Lera from The New York Times this is a complicated issue again on the policy and the personal grounds but I also think it's important to point out kind of the almost dual track here that the administration is going on which is the almost psychological effect that they're attempting to have here when it comes to enforcement of immigration look 2,000 people that's a lot of people if they're projected but there's 1 million people estimated in the country with deportation order so it's not the entirety of the 1 million people so there seems to be a psychological effort here and there's also the political as well is that kind of your read on things cover in the White House Mike yeah totally I I'm not totally I can't sit there and tell you what's gonna happen today it could be anything from nothing today to you know thousands of people rounded up but one thing we've seen on a signature issue for President Trump is that it's not probably not going to unfold very smoothly immigration from the Muslim ban at the very start of the administration was wracked with chaos we've had multiple multiple government shutdowns over trying to build a wall now the family separation issues and the detention issues we've seen at the border with pence that you alluded to earlier and this is definitely the one thing we know for sure is that is that Trump sees as a clear political win for him he tried to push it unsuccessfully on Republicans in 2018 midterms that backfired a little bit but one thing we've seen in the last couple of weeks is the campaign fundraisers a number of fundraisers there was a Harvard Harvard Harris poll that asked people simply should should the census be allowed to ask if you're a citizen the Trump campaign pulled that question almost word-for-word put it as put it in multiple fundraising emails for the last couple of weeks which is again as a clear sign that they see this as a winning issue for their own base at the very least yeah and you bring that up and we'll get to the census in a sec but but they take a look at this Fox poll from June when it asks you know Trump voters who say his immigration policy where it currently stands 48% of Trump voters polled in this Fox News poll say it has not gone far enough so yes there's a psychological piece of trying to keep people from coming to the United States from Central America but there's also the political piece to where the president has made clear that he thinks that this is a winner in his base his voters clearly want more that's right I think this is an election that the president his advisors believe will be won or lost on whether he can motivate his base the question that I'm wondering about is whether achievement still matters or matters for the president does he have to accomplish some of these goals does he actually have to do something to deal with you know the the problem that his supporters see of an increase of you know immigration is the country or is just looking like he's fighting the fight and fighting it really hard against you know whoever the enemies are the media Democrats judges is that sufficient to keep his base with him and I I think that is a little bit of an open question and that's kind of what we're seeing play out now yeah and it's interesting you know we showed the vice president's interview with Pamela brown part of it and part of that was taking a tour of different facilities one that had just adult males one that had children and and look full disclosure the one that had children the children that are going to use what's going on and the border challenge is there to say this is why we need tougher immigration laws we need to close these so-called Asylum loopholes we need to make it easier to support these children and families more quickly back to Central America but Democrats will point to this and say this is why we need more funding we need to have a more generous immigration policy you have Democrats going very far to the left going as far as to say they want to decriminalize border crossings because of what's going on you want to kind of roll back the policies of the Trump administration so while these images are very just very noteworthy how much it changes the debate here in Washington is it's hard to tell and you talk about to 2020 and going to the left I think that's what some of the president's point here is he is trying to engage Democrats and there is a very liberal left-leaning discussion going on inside the Democratic presidential primary that may benefit the president in the general election here so this is all political but the in the answer to the question of does achieve mener that's an open question because now he is the president he is in charge of all of this and it's happening on his watch so the blame game is difficult but there's no question he's trying to I believe I'm engaged of a Democrat citizen politics and that's working to some degree yeah look you bring it up as as down yeah but plan B is so much better than plan a there's a and of course like what is his quote there there are kernels of truth in there there are ways for the government currently to figure out who people who are citizens and people who are not citizens without this question in the census he's incorrect and that he backed down we heard attorney general bob barr explain in a pretty detailed way that they didn't have time to prosecute this question and that the census which is a you know a very important piece of information that throughout several government agencies from from you know for health reasons for political apportionment that was at risk of being delayed if if they were going to push this question further but to your point earlier on on what gets solved here so trump will keep fighting and it's very important for the base to see him fight but but where do any of these immigration issues get solved especially since you as you pointed out these images the administration brought reporters to the border right I mean these are images that they think are helpful to them that Democrats see the exact opposite and when everyone's in their opposite corners here there's there's there's not much middle ground left for for a compromise yeah and with the segment immigration 101 over the last ten years I know some men has covered plenty of I would note the census question the answer ended up being exactly what the census professional non-political staff recommended at the very beginning go figure all right up next a democratic Family Feud on Capitol Hill the long simmering tension between the progressive and establishment wings of the Democratic Party continues boiling over this weekend it's a schism that breaks down along both ideological and generational lines a fight over how to use their House Majority to rein in President Trump the major players House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and the so called squad of four firebrand freshman women congresswoman Alexandria Castillo Cortes receded to leave Ilhan Omar and a Jana Presley they and their allies spent days hammering Democrats for approving a border funding bill they believe gives President Trump too much money without enough restrictions Pelosi took the for and many others to the caucus to task with a series of public and private swipes questioning whether their influence extends much beyond their Twitter feeds while pleading for party unity you got a complaint Pelosi said at a closed-door caucus meeting you come and talk to me about it but do not tweet about our members and expect us to think it's just okay now it's pretty much only spiraled down from there Acacio cortes question whether Pelosi was singling out the squad over race a charge that prompted President Trump of all people to speak out in Pelosi's defense the House Democrats official Twitter feed then took a swing at Alexandria Castillo Cortes his chief of staff perhaps a bit ironic given that Pelosi comment behind closed doors and onstage at the progressive Netroots nation conference yesterday in Philadelphia congresswoman Omar said she and her allies have no intention of backing down there's a constant I think struggle often times with people who have power about sharing that power and we are not really in the business of asking for the share of that power we're in the business of trying to grab that power and return it to the all that quote really kind of perfectly encapsulates what a lot of the new members particularly the new progressive members feel but I guess the question I have right now Sungmin is Democrats hate the Dems and disarray narrative its mocked universally but I was on the hill all last week this is this is real this is very much in disarray I mean can you remember the last time that a formal house Democratic caucus called out a staff member so publicly like that I can it seems unheard of a lot of this I think is coming from just to kind of fundamental different worldviews of one on Pelosi Zen and one from the squad's at about how power works I mean you and I have covered Nancy Pelosi she is acutely focused on you know what like how to count votes like how many votes does one member bring and that's what she was referring to when she told the New York Times that says these are only four votes that's the extent of their influence and she's a master vote counter that's what matters to her but for these members of the squad I mean they have gathered their power through the outside following and the movement that they've been able to create so they see their power in a fundamentally different fashion and that's where the clash is coming right now I mean we're talking about the immigration filt immigration fight that happened a couple of weeks ago we're going to be having a lot more of these fights in the coming weeks as tensions intensify over impeachment over climate issues there are a litany of other democratic issues just kind of hanging out there that haven't yet been accomplished yeah there's a natural tension because there's different bases of power and I think there's different goals and those tensions the idea is to keep them reined in for a singular focus and clearly they haven't been you you go you won't see how personal the attacks get there was a another Maureen Dowd column who has found herself right in the middle of all of this where rahm emanuel former House Democratic whip former chief of staff to President Obama not necessarily a huge friend of progressives sometimes says that Alexandria costo Cortes his chief of staff who's been at the center of this as well as a quote snot-nosed Punk you should be lucky to learn from somebody like Nancy who's shown incredible courage and has twice returned the democratic power Democratic Party to power then you had my leader he from justice Democrats who told BuzzFeed the base of the Democratic Party looks a lot more like AOC and Ayana Presley the Nancy Pelosi or Chuck Schumer I think the base of the party wants bold leadership right now and they might start wondering what other house leadership might look like there's a brush back no question I mean the base of the Democratic Party the voters that we see out at rallies and rebuilding primers are not it's not the same as the Justice Democrats and the people on Twitter it is a different universe and that is I think that sometimes isn't recognized i Rahm Emanuel there is an old-school dem in every way but he knows how to win elections he's won several himself and he's been a part of that of course if he believes that this leftward shift in the party is bad for Democrats overall and it will help reelect of the president we'll see about this I think this and this is something that the speaker Pelosi has dealt with many many many things and she knows how to deal with the president should instead of do a lot a lot of things I'm not sure where this fight goes for her it's not in her interest to keep it alive but it's shopping sort of to see the level of disrespect really I think for these younger members to her speakers no question and I think it's also surprising that staffers are getting involved in this as well anyway he's covered the hill for a long time but I do want to make something made a really good kind of brass tacks point in terms of where speaker Pelosi is coming out speaker Pelosi Speaker the house because she has a majority the reason they have a majority comes right around here what you're looking at is the 2016 how Clinton or Trump did in various districts what I circled is kind of the middle ground the new members of the Democratic caucus are coming from places that either Hillary Clinton won by five or less or President Trump won by five or less those are the majority makers that is the reason speaker Pelosi is currently Speaker of the House that's where her votes are when she wants to move something forward I take a look at those four progressive members they are way out on the other side they come from safe districts very blue districts and at least at this point in time they aren't bringing the votes to the table to demand changes in things and that's I think more than anything else what guides the Speaker of the House right and there's something deeply ironic about this whole thing because for decades Nancy Pelosi was the San Francisco firebrand liberal that was the star of every Republican attack ad and now she has become the patron state of moderate Blue Dog Democrats I mean it's all changed very quickly and I think there is a piece of it which we haven't mentioned which is generational you have this leadership of the Democratic Party that is in their 70s upper 70s in the case of that's leading to presidential candidates then you have a young raishin that's very eager to beat down the doors so some of it is ideological and where they think the party should go in terms of things like immigration which we were talking about earlier in the show but some of it is also you know this idea of new leadership and how much of representation a more diverse representation matters yeah look don't get it twisted these folks the progressives were sent here to break things and change things that's what they're trying to do the question is do they have the votes to actually force that to happen all right up next Joe Biden under attack from his primary rivals is he ready to finally return fire what about the voters Jeff's elleny with some New Hampshire residents after a Biden Town Hall but for me Biden is the is the guy who is able to work across the aisles and bring people together and I think again part of his message is that our country is fractured and it needs to be pulled back together and I think he's that guy but he's not my number one choice because I would rather see a younger feed in the polls and a shaky performance on the campaign trail are certainly complicating his general election focus strategy the CNN poll of polls shows Biden at 25 percent down 7 points since the end of May both Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren are up 8 points jumping into a virtual three-way tie with Bernie Sanders for second place a Biden standing atop the polls and new vulnerability makes him a big tiger target his rivals certainly are not holding back we're on a debate stage and if you have not prepared and you're not ready for somebody to point out a difference of opinion about the history of segregation in our country then you're probably not ready if you voted for the Wall Street bailout if you're voted for the bankruptcy bill if you are taking a kind of moderate approach not dealing with the real issues facing poor people or working people are you gonna create that excitement where people say you know what I'm going out I'm voting cuz that guy now until now Biden is mostly let those attacks just go unanswered focusing instead on attacking President Trump on Friday however Biden accuse some of his rivals of not telling the truth about what medicare-for-all really means Bernie's been very honest about it he said you're gonna have to raise taxes in the middle class he says going to end all private insurance I mean he's been straightforward about and he's making his case Anders well so far not Jeff sellin II was on the trail with the former vice president and I guess that's the question right now you have to draw distinctions in a big race and a particularly one that's is full particularly the targets on your back what's your sense right now about where the vice president is in that process he's inching up to doing it he hasn't quite done it yet but you know that that's where this is headed and he said look I asked him directly there if senator Harris has been forthcoming about her health care plan actually wait we have that sound I want to play that so senator Harris been forthcoming enough about her ideas to abolish private health insurance or not I'll let you guys make that judgment I mean what I was struck by spending a couple days with the former vice president is that he's still very comfortable where he is on this but he's defending Obamacare as he wraps himself in every bit of Obama that he can he talks about health care lot and he says that you know it's not the moment to start from scratch and when you talk to voters there is a sense out there even those who don't necessarily favor Joe Biden's policies and he's not their first choice they still see him as an acceptable alternative so I think the big question for Biden he's doing more interviews this coming week he's campaigning more his July has been much more muscular if you will how he shows up in the debate at the end of this month here on CNN that is the question for his candidacy going forward but he is beginning to draw distinctions but he doesn't necessarily want to get in the mud you know specifically with all these folks because he's still the front-runner yeah it's that debate and it's also just the entire month of July if you look at the CNN poll end of June right after the debate the electability argument which has been but the vice president's kind of key component of his campaign his numbers closed up a lot you had voters prioritize beating Trump Biden 23% Harris 18% Warren 18% that wasn't the gap that we saw now again it's been a month since that poll there's going to be another debate but is that a problem for him oh I mean of course it's a problem that is the mental central I asked a probing question I mean I think it is important to emphasize how much this is a shift in strategy for the former vice president Jeff and I were both there during his opening events and Iowa and in New Hampshire and he was not taking questions from the press he was just coming in doing maybe what a rally a day it was a rose garden kind of strategy for someone who had not been in the Rose Garden for eight years it was really an interesting choice but he wanted to present himself as the closest thing to the establishment pick and come in there and sort of do it that way and now there's definitely a recognition among his team and among him that that is not working that he needs to be more aggressive and I think as Jeff points out the question is whether he starts being going after people by name does he hit back hard in the debate does he go in for some kind of an attack on some of his rivals and there's a risk to that there's a risk of sort of losing the sense that he is the the front-runner in the race although I don't know how you have a front-runner when you're so many months out from the first round of voting but yeah there's one thing I'm not too sure to tirely up on but what I was really interested is there's a poll that came out from Reuters Ipsos that showed what everybody's second choice would be and we all have I think in our minds there's kind of a narrative of what the lanes are and if you're not voting for X then you would certainly be voting for Y and take a look at some of these numbers I was actually really interested by this for Biden the second choice 29% Bernie Sanders for Sanders the second tour choice 32% for Biden for Harris it would be Warren for Warren it would be Harris I'm intrigued by that because I feel like that's not necessarily the way we've kind of format it in our head is that yeah well there's a certain gender breakdown there which I think is interesting because you've seen over the last couple of weeks how the two leading women in the race have really punched up and punched hard at kind of going after kind of who were the two men who were perceived in those lanes I mean you saw Kamala Harris go after hard a Joe Biden in the debates and continuing on as we just saw in that view interview and obviously Warren has kind of been been fighting for that birdie a slice of voters for some time and just going back to an earlier point with Joe Biden and how he will start kind of contrasting himself and going after people by name remember when he's had to respond to kind of the attacks he hasn't done it quite so well and he went when Senator Booker said he needs to apologize for his comments on working well with segregationist Biden's first response was well Cory needs to apologize and when calmly Harris went after him in the debate Joe Biden cut himself off remember he said my time was out and it's so how he starts to create that contrast and how well he does it is a really open question yes also think like look women all the literature all everything we know about women for running for office shows that they face a tougher path to viability so part of what may be happening is voters are now looking at these two women after that debate and beginning to see them more as more as a viable candidates and that is something that is very dangerous for Biden and Bernie Sanders because frankly they could have been benefiting from people sort of innate stereotypes of women running for office and that may be sort of going away yeah it's a race and it's still early and there's still a very big debate coming up at the end of the month all right we've got a lot more here state tear not even berry hasn't finished causing trouble in Louisiana even though the center of the storm came inland on Sunday it's moving very slowly so heavy rain and flooding will remain a problem all day forecasters also warned tornadoes are possible across parts of Louisiana Mississippi Western Alabama and eastern Arkansas everybody be safe we're gonna transition to something else from politics back to what we discussed earlier the few between antsy Pelosi and a group of progressive Democrats earlier in the show well president Trump is again weighing in this morning some racially charged language I don't read this to you is this quote so interesting to see progressive Democrat Congress women who originally came from countries whose governments are a complete and total catastrophe the worst most corrupt and inept anywhere in the world if they have a function in government at all now loudly and viciously telling the people of the United States the greatest most powerful nation on earth how our government is to be run why don't they go back and help fix the totally broken and crime-infested places from which they came then come back and show us how it's done these places need your help badly you can't leave fast enough I'm sure Nancy Pelosi would be very happy to work out free travel arrangements right let's let's sit one fact first there's one congresswoman in this progressive group that comes from outside of the United States that was a migrant has a very kind of impressive story of coming to the United States of America that's Ilhan Omar the rest of the progressive congresswoman were born in the United States have no idea what on earth he's talking about other than it seems very out of line but bender you cover the White House and the president what yeah I'm not sure I haven't been sitting here on set while this tweet came out but you can see where this is gonna go it's gonna go a number of different ways for one you mentioned Omar Rep Omar is from Somalia this goes Somalia was on the list of Muslim of Muslim majority countries that Trump wanted to ban immigrants from that'll certainly be a part of the story you know to try to look at it from the eyes of the Oval Office right now in the resolute desk this is one way Trump Trump has wanted to solve some of these immigration issues by going back to the countries of origin I'm talking specifically about the caravans coming up through Central America and and and Mexico he's wanted to cut countries like Guatemala Honduras to handle these problems within their own borders but that is going to be definitely overshadowed by just what you're talking about this sort of the racially charged aspect here of of what sounds like go back where you came from yeah and and look it's she's in HoN Omar's an American citizen she was elected by the constituents in her district there are a lot of issues obviously some that have been problematic inside her own party that she's had but come on man latest cabinet member to quit after coming under fire for a plea deal he made a decade ago with accused sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein when Acosta was a US Attorney now let's go ahead and take a look I want to walk you through the magical mystery tour that is president Trump's cabinet here's the 15 cabinet level agencies you're looking at and here is where President Trump started see a lot of familiar faces there some faces that are no longer there you want me to demonstrate that I think this is important because you don't necessarily grasp how much the turnover has been until you like to take a look at this original group and where we are now watches go through you'll see some faces change DHS has changed over you'll also see three departments right now that don't currently have a face that's because they have acting officials that are currently running them you'll see that the turnover has not only unsettled necessarily the agencies themselves but also the administration as a whole you want to know why the turnover actually occurred this is probably the more problematic issue and that's not coming from Democrats this is when I talk to Republicans on Capitol Hill it's the fact that a number of these departures were because individuals were forced out because they faced scandal or perceived scandal because they resigned at least based on the resignation letter in the case of Jim mattis the former defense secretary out of protest there were two that left amicably congratulations ambassador nikki Haley and Business Administrator Glenda McMahon now what are the total numbers here if you want a comparison of things more cabinet level turnover at this stage in Trump's term then any other of his predecessors going back to Ronald Reagan over the course of their first full years with nine leaving at this point in time President Obama had lost it gives you kind of a sense of how quickly this is all turned over that said those a lot of people have left scandal departures have been problematic the president has been pushing people out at least in Alex Acosta's case maybe that wasn't the case he's done a fantastic job he's a friend of everybody in the administration this is a person that I've gotten to know there hasn't been an ounce of controversy at the Department of Labor until this came up and he's doing this not for himself he's doing this for the administration and Alex I think you'll agree I said you don't have to do this he doesn't have to do nothing by all accounts that was an accurate representation of what happened but it's such as Canada I want to bring up a graphic of the White House to and Bender this is where you live most days of all the departures that they've had five communications director three Chiefs of Staff three national security advisors three press secretaries though they don't have briefings anymore so I'm not sure that matters three ledger fairs directors vendor brass tacks here how much does this actually matter on the day-to-day operations at the White House in the administration it matters hugely and two quick points on this one is to bring it back to Lisa's accomplishments it's hard to get anything done when you have this kind of turnover at inside the executive office and at a cabinet level and then and to is is this is one thing that not only sort of general Americans middle-of-the-road Americans but also Trump's base is turned off by when there's a sense of chaos inside the White House when not his Twitter personality which a lot of people kind of put up with but the sense of turnover the sense of things that aren't moving smoothly people get turned off and that's where you see Trump's numbers dip and I want to there's the real world implications of this take a look at what's going on at the Pentagon and the Department of Homeland Security where you have office after office after office filled by acting people filled by people who aren't confirmed so men you're on the hill you talk to the Republicans who I've leased I've heard or are unsettled by this why they are because it first of all it really diminishes their own role of advice and consent I mean there's the president nominates the Senate confirms that's just how the process works but in a lot of these key important positions you want especially dealing with national security and foreign policy you want to send a message out to the world that not only does the president approve this someone but a majority or a Pharma jority of the Senate and when you're in acting official you don't send that message writ large yeah Jeff we got about 20 seconds left what's your kind of redone think the big thing is be a defense secretary the country can get along without a permanent labor secretary but the fact that there are still acting secretaries in these very key positions it's a very unstable view internally and how the world is looking here at this government it is a it's probably one of the biggest stories of this administration the fact that there are so many acting shifting musical chairs yeah one quick thing the insults as to former cabinet officials that often come up as to why they might be gone Tillerson he was dumb as a rock I couldn't get rid of him fast enough maddis what's he done for me he how had he done in Afghanistan not good McGann never a big fan Bannen sloppy steve has been dumped like a duck well sure it's not easy to leave this place I'm good terms Alex Acosta I guess you at least get a win on that one let's see it's presidents team it's his prerogative all right our reporters share from their notebooks next thing clout in front of the week ahead SMK leaves office I'm gonna be watching very closely for any signs of movement on the US Canada Mexico Canada trade deal it is one of the top priorities of the Trump administration they realized they have to get it done this year because it becomes infinitely more difficult in an election year for the president was touting the benefits of the trade deal in Wisconsin last week very important in these AG states such as Iowa and Wisconsin very important to his potential we election bid but the fate of the USMC a really lies in the hands of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi now she is meeting with the Trade Representative Robert light Heiser on Tuesday and that's gonna be a meeting that's going to be closely watched for any signs of movement clock is ticking geli these are difficult days for better or works campaign we are just on the eve of the fundraising a deadline for all the candidates to report their money he's yet to report I'm told by a couple top supporters familiar with this financial situation that it's bleak the tally is bleak and a few staffers have begun leaving El Paso moving on to do other things he's still in this fight he's still campaigning it was out of New Hampshire over the weekend but the question is how long is he going to be able to stay in this race he's going to have to lean his operation if he wants to continue he has a lot of high-powered high paid staff members so there are discussions going on in El Paso I'm told as headquarters sort of what the next step is he's committed to staying in but it's not the summer he envisioned yeah if you haven't reported in your numbers yet probably not a great sign right bender president Trump was in North Carolina on Wednesday this is his first campaign rally since his kick off last month in Orlando he's not going to have Bob Muller to tee off on the congressional hearing scheduled for earlier that day's been postponed so what is he going to say President Trump hasn't really made news at one of these events for months but his supporters keep packing them to the rafters regardless I would pay closer attention as we move into 2022 how long his fans keep showing up to see the greatest hits then then any hypothetical national head-to-head polls good question Lisa so this coming week we will be a year out from the Democratic National Convention so I spent some time looking backwards in Pennsylvania Wisconsin and Michigan those infamous states that Hillary Clinton of course lost and what was striking talking to Democratic voters and officials politicians in those states is how much the party is infected with a case of PTSD from that election that loss looms over the field but at the same time there's really no consensus about why it happened so depending who you talk to you'll hear that Hillary Clinton talked about President Trump too much or not enough that it was white working-class voters or you know unmade it unmotivated and ability to energize the base so how these questions are resolved is really the terrain that the 2020 primary is being fought over and whether they are resolved is really the lingering question that Democrats will face when they get to that convention next year yeah no question about it one year all right all right Island with this Treasury secretary Steve monition sent a jolt into more about budget talks this week when he informed lawmakers the US may run out of cash at the beginning of September that's more than a month earlier than originally projected and it also came with a request raise the debt ceiling before the house leaves town for its summer recess July 26 but even after five calls in six days between minutia and Speaker Nancy Pelosi there isn't a deal yet and the complications that all but shut down talks weeks ago and inability to lock in domestic spending increases commiserate with those on the defense side a White House negotiating team that doesn't always operate with a single voice a Democratic caucus that we've seen is splintering over immigration and a president that can be shall we say unpredictable in these types of talks haven't disappeared just because there's an earlier deadline now I asked the speaker this past week if she was optimistic the new dynamics and urgency would lead to a deal and a successful vote before that August recess her response I'm realistic asked what exactly that reality is at this point or three rude response to that teed up just how big this next week will be and what will short order be the biggest story in Washington and on Wall Street we'll see soon that's it for inside politics I hope you

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